Averaging — where it appears
Named by 5 essays across 3 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.
How many triangles it takes
Rung eleven priced one triangle and recorded that a survey observes hundreds. Averaging n of them divides the noise by √n, and n is not free: a chain of fixed length holds fewer big triangles than small ones, so the accuracy improves as the side to the power three halves rather than two. Struve's 141 triangles of forty kilometres are worth exactly Gauss's seven of eighty-five.
A family is not closed under averaging
Nine rungs treat a family as a set of maps with a parameter running through it, and this collection's own compromise projections are averages of members. An average of two members is not a member: two conics far apart average to something 31 per cent of their own separation outside the family — and averaging within a family makes the map worse every time, while averaging across two makes it 16 per cent better.
Whether the ellipses point the same way
The previous rung found that alignment decides whether the average of a region's deformations is above or below the deformation of its average, and stated it at ten projections over one region. Swept over a hundred and eight pairs, the answer is that alignment belongs to the projection 28 per cent, to the region 38, and to neither 33 — and two rows of the table turn out not to be measurements at all.
The error that does not average down
Five rungs give a coordinate a width, and all five assume the observations it was averaged from are independent. They are not. Under the noise spectrum every published analysis of a position time series reports, the standard error falls as the eleventh root rather than the square root — so a factor of ten costs a hundred observations if the noise is white and a thousand million if it is not.
Rounding is not noise
Eight rungs treat a coordinate's error as noise that averages down. A published coordinate has a second error that does not: it is deterministic, it is shared between every point in the same cell, and at five centimetres apart ninety-three per cent of pairs come out as the same place — which no amount of independent noise can produce.
Named alongside it
The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.
Error budgetStandard errorVerificationClosed formMeasurementNoisePrecisionSurveyAngle deficitAngular deformationAnisotropyBias