The thread: The trade-off is forced — page 5
A criterion worth using is one whose answer is not unique
Forty-two starts on one region and one tolerance give forty-two different maps, keeping from 36.98 per cent of the area to 67.50. The two starts anybody would actually use — Chebyshev's map and the mean-square map — end 27.1 points apart, which is more than the criterion buys over either of them. And the spread is widest at exactly the tolerance where the criterion is worth using at all, because both facts are the same fact: an objective with a flat top and a sharp edge has somewhere to hide answers.
The map is finer than the paper it is folded from
Thirteen measurements price a polyhedral map in angles, areas and lengths, and none of them is about paper. A hand-folded net is accurate to about a degree of dihedral angle, which displaces the far edge of a cube's face by 0.955° of arc — 106 km at Earth scale — and that floor does not shrink when the globe is made larger, because a degree is a degree. Against it the conformal face map's seam corner is 0.769° on a cube and 0.0040° on an icosahedron, where it is 165 times finer than the sheet can be folded to.
A streak along the jet moves the floor while the crossing is flown
The diversion floor answers only to the difference between the wind on a gap's two halves, and every case so far produced that difference by moving a jet sideways. A jet carrying a streak — a thousand kilometres of core markedly faster than the rest — produces the same difference with nothing changed across the flow at all, and moves the floor by up to 43 km where the same jet at one speed along its whole length moves it by ten metres. Plotted against the half-integral difference the two geometries fall on one line: the floor cannot tell them apart. And because a streak drifts with the flow, the allowance an operator must satisfy is 30 km higher than the one the departure analysis reported.
One curve beats the three maps it would replace
Goode's composite is a sinusoidal, a Mollweide and now a splice strip between them, and the question left open was whether one smooth spacing curve could do the whole job or whether the joins are doing work no single curve can. One term does it: a curve with a single coefficient carries 6.8 degrees less angular deformation than the composite, two beat every named equal-area pseudocylindrical in the library, and the composite turns out to be worse than the Mollweide it is half made of.
The correction is the smaller of the two corrections
Legendre's theorem subtracts a third of the spherical excess from each angle of a triangle and solves the rest as a plane figure. It is the correction every nineteenth-century computer applied and the one every textbook explains. Beside the error the choice of substituted sphere leaves in the same triangle it is small: on the thirty-kilometre triangle a first-order chain is made of, omitting it costs 166 millimetres in a computed side and using the geodetic-latitude sphere costs 43 metres. The two terms scale differently, so each sphere has a size at which the correction overtakes it — and for the two spheres a careful computer would have chosen, that size falls inside a real chain.
Two islands are three numbers, and the proof does not survive them
A sea with one island at its centre has one conformal invariant and a forced best map. Put two islands in it and there are three invariants, readable in closed form because stereographic projection carries circles to circles — and the forcing is gone. The theorem that picked the map needed the region to be unchanged by rotation, not to have one hole, and a single harmonic term two hundredths in size beats the stereographic by 0.19 per cent the moment an island moves off centre.
The seam falls faster than the paper
Divide each face of an icosahedron ν ways and two things shrink at different rates. The fold's error falls as 1/ν, because it is the face's own radius times a degree. The gnomonic seam corner falls as 1/ν², because it needs both a tilt between faces and a distance along their edge. So the gnomonic, 12.8 times the whole assembly budget on twenty faces, goes under it at 720 faces on a 100 mm globe. No globe of any size needs more than 5,120, and what it costs is paper folded out of sight: 5.8 per cent of the sheet at that crossing.
A second clause decides the half that was already decided
A specification written as a band admits forty-two maps keeping between 37.0 and 67.5 per cent of a region. Adding a tie-break — among those, take the one whose worst departure is least — is a linear programme, and it works: it makes each of the forty-two definite. It also merges three neighbours at the bottom into one, leaves 29.1 of the 30.5 points of spread in area kept, and names a single map only at the tolerance where every map keeps everything and the first clause has stopped asking for anything at all.
Scored lobe by lobe, the homolosine loses to its own lower half
Read as one uncut sheet, a single smooth curve beats Goode's composite by 9.6 degrees. But the homolosine is used cut into six lobes, so here it is scored cut, with each point measured from its own lobe's meridian, and the ranking turns over. Eckert IV, the best named map uncut, falls to second from last. The curve that beat the composite is now 2.3° worse than it. The plain sinusoidal, the composite's own lower half, wins at 17.88° against 18.48. The best smooth curve for a cut map is the sinusoidal with a few per cent of correction.
Weighted by what it disagrees with, the fix trusts the sight it leans on
With six sights and two unknowns, the residuals seem to offer a way to find the bad sight without knowing the weather: weight each line by how little it disagrees, and solve again. One step of that gives a low body almost exactly the weight its altitude would, 4.5 per cent against 4.0. Every further step walks it away. Iterated until the weights settle, the fit is worse than weighting nothing in all four arrangements tried. Where the low body stands alone in its direction it ends with six times the weight it earns, because the fix leans on its line and its residual shows only 46 per cent of its error.
A week of twilights learns what a sight is worth
One fix cannot tell how good its low sight was, but every residual of every fix is a point on one straight line whose slope is the square of the refraction share, once each is corrected exactly for its own fix's geometry. After one twilight the estimate is zero four times in ten; after a week it is within half again of the truth nearly four times in five. And the lesson is worth little: a guess within a factor of two already costs under 4 per cent of the fix, a week's estimate 1.3, and a share that changes from night to night by half again costs more than the learning buys.
One exponent names one map, and at tight bands a better one than the band usually finds
A specification written as a band keeps a count of area and throws the rest of the scale field away, which is why it had forty-two answers and why a tie-break could not name one. Written instead as the mean of |ln k| raised to a stated power, it is convex for every power from one up, and has one answer. At a band of a tenth of a per cent that single answer keeps more of the region than forty-one of the band's forty-two, and at half a per cent fewer than nine of them: the band's best answer leads it by 14.7 points there, and the band's own search started from it reaches within two points of that best. Only as the band approaches the least worst case does a large power take over.
On the land it was drawn for, the homolosine wins by its meridians
Scored over the whole sphere and cut into Goode's lobes, the homolosine loses to the plain sinusoidal; for it to win on latitude alone, a reader would have to care about the band from 32° to 61° forty per cent more than its area. The land does not do that — the band holds 1.03 times its share of the continents. Weighted by land anyway, and each point read from the meridian of the lobe it lies in, the homolosine wins: 16.51° against Craster's 17.00 and the sinusoidal's 17.34. The win is in where Goode put his meridians, which lift his map from third to first; count Antarctica as land and it falls to fourth.
One cut belongs to the island that would cost most alone
A sea with two islands pays a few per cent for being drawn whole by an angle-keeping map, and one cut buys back part of it. Which island to cut is a design choice that leaves the ground exactly where it was, and it is not decided by size: across twenty arrangements of a large island and a small one, the cut worth most goes to the island that would cost the sea most if it were alone in it — in eighteen of twenty, the other two near-ties — which is usually the more central one. A cut joining the two islands buys almost nothing, and the better cut is nearly always the longer.
The sinusoidal is the edge of its family, not outside it
The sinusoidal is the last member of a family of equal-area maps that begins at Lambert's cylindrical, and it was thought to be the one projection whose pass depth has no curve. Along the family the curve comes and goes: present at m = 0 and 0.8, absent at 0.6 and 0.9. What does move smoothly is the pass depth's level. It is flat from m = 0.2 to 0.9, then rises at every step over the last twentieth, 3.2-fold, to the sinusoid — whose high ridges are the end of that rise, not an exception to the family — while the cylinder at m = 0 stands eight times above its neighbour.
A forecast's error in where the streak is becomes a margin
A jet streak drifting along a gap moves the diversion floor by up to forty kilometres during a crossing, and an operator knows where the streak is only from a forecast. Planned to the worst over the forecast's own crossing window, the floor needs a margin of about eight kilometres for every hundred of error in the streak's position, and stops paying for itself against simply ignoring the streak near an error of two hundred and fifty. Planned to the departure analysis alone, it is worse than ignoring the streak at any error at all.
The land puts the homolosine's join eleven degrees higher
Goode joined the sinusoidal to the Mollweide at 40° 44′ because that is where their parallels have the same length — a fact of geometry, not of any objective. On the land his map was drawn for, read from his own lobes, the join has an objective at last, and its best value is 51.7°: a composite joined there gains a fifth of a degree over Goode's, and every join from about 46° to 60° does nearly as well. A smooth curve fitted to the land with no join in it at all stays within three per cent of flat to 50° and then closes, gaining twice as much again. Goode found the right shape and put its knee too low; with Antarctica counted, the land wants no knee at all.
A map drawn to a density it was handed
Two hundred and twenty-six essays measure distortion after the fact. This one specifies it: a density is handed to a map as a boundary condition, the areal scale factor comes out equal to it to five parts in a million, and every other invariant the site owns becomes the price.
Tonight's residuals measure tonight's air badly and weight tonight's fix well
A week of twilights learns the typical refraction share and nothing about tonight's, and a share that changes from night to night costs more than the week buys. With the sextant's error taken from the week, one twilight's residuals estimate tonight's share alone — badly: within half again of the truth 43 times in a hundred with three bodies near the horizon, and zero 22 times. Used as a weight, that poor estimate costs the fix between two and four per cent whatever the night, so it beats the typical share once nights differ by more than half again, and a blend of the two, leaning on tonight as the nights grow more variable, beats both. A weather predictor has to explain most of the nightly change to do better.
The archipelago rule moves water between regimes, not between states
The eighteen baseline systems the archipelago article allows on a stated archipelago differ by 27,585 square kilometres of water inside the lines. Measured outward, as the Convention measures every zone, the difference almost vanishes: whatever a system takes inside it gives up from the zone outside, and water inside plus zone outside differs by 993 square kilometres, seven hundredths of a per cent. Against a straight neighbouring coast on any side, the equidistance line does not move at all, because a baseline's nearest point to a straight coast is always an island. Only a neighbour facing the middle of a gap feels the choice — 2,112 square kilometres at thirty kilometres off, 688 at 250.
The land would move Goode's lobes before his join
Goode chose his lobes by eye: where the cuts run and where each lobe's meridian sits. Scored on the land outside Antarctica and found exactly on a five-degree grid, the land's own layout at his count of two lobes north and four south deforms it by 14.48° against his 16.51° — two degrees, more than his meridians were worth in the first place — while its cuts cross less land than his: 2,057 kilometres against 2,391, the worst of them 1,056 against the 1,946 his northern cut spends on Greenland. The land wants the map's edge in the Atlantic and its northern cut in the Pacific. His fourth southern lobe is worth four hundredths of a degree, and once the lobes are the land's the best join climbs again, to sixty degrees.
The second cut goes across the sea
With two islands and one cut, the island that would cost the sea most alone names the cut. With three islands and two cuts, the obvious rule — cut the two dearest — names the best pair in only 23 of 40 seas, and loses up to 23 points of what three cuts would buy. It fails when the two dearest sit on the same side of the sea, where their cuts do each other's work. The best pair keeps the dearest island in 37 of 40; its partner is the island across the centre from it, which is right in 32 of 40 and never costs more than 12 points. A cut joining two islands is never worth a second cut to the sea.
The band names the exponent for a compact region, and not for a thin one
A tolerance band is best served by the mean departure when it is tight and by the least worst case when it is wide. Read as a fraction of the region's own least worst departure, the band decides which, and the region's size drops out: a square, a triangle or a hexagon at 10°, 25° or 40° switches from one to the other at nine tenths, and a surveyor told only that loses at most two points of area on every compact region but the degenerate cap. A thin ellipse does not switch. From six tenths upward it is served best by exponents in between, and any rule with two exponents in it gives up five to seven points there, wherever its switch is put.
Every density can be met and none is free
Four maps of the same data, all of them correct, charging between 57.6° and 104.4° of angular deformation for it. There is no such thing as the cartogram of a density — there is an infinite family, and somebody picked a member of it without saying so.