Cartographic Projection
every map is wrong, and by exactly how much
Theme

The thread: Purpose before property — page 7

Asking which projection is best is asking an incomplete question. Every one of them minimises something, and the only useful comparison is between a projection and the job it was chosen for. Essays 145 to 153 of 153.
The density every real cartogram is handed. Two islands in an ocean that is not lightly populated but empty: the density is exactly zero over 83.7 per cent of the sphere. Four rungs of this anchor assume a positive density, because the construction divides by it — and the conditional cumulative of a column with no mass in it is zero over zero. Drawn on the equal-area base, so a cell's ink is a density and its area is ground. Measuring distortion

A density that asks for no room at all

Five rungs assume the density is positive everywhere, because the construction divides by it. Every cartogram anybody draws has an ocean, and an ocean is not sparsely populated but empty — 83.7 per cent of the sphere, exactly zero, and the construction returns nothing at all for a third of the probes.

 The same tiling, turned. The cube's eight vertices, ringed, and eight cities, with the aspect of the cell each city falls in written beside it. The two panels are the same tiling: the same cells, the same areas, the same shapes, in the same numbers. Only where they sit has changed, and the eight cities get cells whose areas spread by 1.26 in one and 1.39 in the other. Drawn on Mollweide, in which equal ground areas are equal page areas. What a machine does with it

The orientation is a policy

A polyhedral cell system has three free angles nobody scores. They cannot improve it: rotating the solid rotates every cell rigidly, so the distribution of cell areas is identical for every orientation there is. What they decide is who stands on the bad cells — and the eight cities measured here get a spread of cell area of 1.00 under the best turn and 1.50 under the worst.

 An office that overshoots headlands draws every coast wrong by that coast's own curvature. Four coasts at one map size: the compiled coast whose seams are counted, and three control coasts an office might trace with the truth known — an ellipse as thin as the counted coast (axis ratio 2.88), a nearly round one (1.12) and a coast of five headlands. Solid: each coast. Dashed: the same coast as an office would draw it whose every hand pushes a headland out and pulls a bay in by a fixed amount per unit of curvature, exaggerated a hundred and twenty times so that it shows. The curvature's spread round each coast, its variance in units of the coast's size: the sheet being counted 16.9, control, as thin as the target 15.6, control, nearly round 0.1, control, five headlands 29.8. The habit's size on a coast follows that spread, and the habit's slope does not change from coast to coast. What is taught wrongly

A known coast charges an office's habit, and a bending one takes it out

An office whose hands all share a habit leaves it in every tracing of every sheet, where the spread between hands cannot see it. One control sheet — a coast known independently, traced the office's usual way — reads the habit's size and restores the charge, if the habit is a drift. If the habit answers to the coast's own curvature, a size read on a rounder coast charges a thinner one at little more than half, but the same control read differently does better than charge the habit: its departures, set against its curvature, give a slope that is the office's own on every coast, and subtracting it leaves about one per cent of the habit in the mean. The slope also tells the two kinds of office apart. A coast that hardly bends teaches neither, and corrects worse than nothing.

 Waiting longer buys almost nothing under the spectrum that is actually there. The scatter of block means against the block length, for the three spectra. White noise falls with a slope of -0.484 — the inverse square root everybody assumes. Flicker falls with a slope of -0.111, so a hundredfold longer average buys a factor of 1.67 rather than ten. A random walk is very nearly flat. Measuring distortion

The error that does not average down

Five rungs give a coordinate a width, and all five assume the observations it was averaged from are independent. They are not. Under the noise spectrum every published analysis of a position time series reports, the standard error falls as the eleventh root rather than the square root — so a factor of ten costs a hundred observations if the noise is white and a thousand million if it is not.

 The same field, the same statistic, two pages. A single northern concentration — v = 10 + 90 exp(−d²/(25°)²), d the distance from 20°E 55°N — drawn twice, with the shading rule and the data identical. The ground's own area-weighted mean is 14.009. A reader weighting by the area actually on the page takes 17.490 off Mercator, which is +24.85%, and 14.009 off Gall–Peters, which is +0.00%. Neither map has misdrawn a single cell. Measuring distortion

A choropleth is read by area

Every cartography course states the rule — use an equal-area projection for a thematic map — and states it as advice. It is a theorem, and it has a residual: the error a page puts into a reading is exactly the covariance of the value with the areal factor, which is 24.85 per cent for a northern concentration read off Mercator and 0.00 per cent for the same field read off a map that spreads area by 7.7 to one.

 The same totals, drawn as symbols, on two pages. A band field, largest in the mid latitudes carried by each region and drawn as a circle whose area is proportional to the total. Every symbol is right: a total is a total wherever it is drawn, and the two maps carry identical numbers. What differs is the ground under each symbol. On Mercator the symbol at 60° sits on a region drawn 4.0 times larger than it would be on an equal-area sheet, so the density a reader forms — symbol against region — is out by that factor. Measuring distortion

A symbol has a size on the page and an area on the ground

A proportional symbol is right as a total wherever it is drawn — a count is a count. Read against the region beneath it, which is how a reader forms a density, it is wrong by exactly the reciprocal of the areal factor: 0.083 at 73° north on Mercator, a factor of twelve, with the correction available as one multiplication that no atlas makes.

 One field, one classifier, two sets of breaks. A field that varies with latitude put into 5 classes by area-weighted quantiles, on Mercator. The upper panel weights each region by its ground area and the lower by the area it occupies on this page, which is what a classifier handed projected geometry does. 60 of 150 regions land in a different class, marked in the lower panel. The data has not changed and neither has the number of classes. Measuring distortion

The class breaks were computed on the page

The three rungs below price what a reader does with a finished map. A classifier is software, it runs on the geometry it has, and the geometry it has is projected: a five-class quantile classification of one stated field puts half of the three hundred and eighty-four regions in a different colour on Mercator, and 87.5 per cent of them at nine classes.

 Six regions, before and after. Six circular regions of unequal size on the equal-area rectangle, and the same six after the cartogram of four cities has been solved. Each drawn area is exactly its base area times the density it was asked for. The four that grow stay recognisably round; the two that shrink are drawn out into shapes that no longer resemble what they were, and nothing in the construction chose to treat them differently. Measuring distortion

A cartogram keeps the shapes it inflates

Seven rungs build cartograms and none reads one back. Reading means recognising a region and dividing its drawn area by its base area, and the construction is against the reader twice: the correlation between how much a region grows and how much of its shape it keeps is −0.996, and the base area a reader has to divide by is the map the cartogram replaced.

 Two places, one written coordinate. The lattice a coordinate written to 5 decimal places lives on, at 45° of latitude, where a cell is 1.11 metres north to south. Two real places a fifth of a cell apart are drawn as open marks and the single value they both round to as a filled one. The distance between them, computed from what was written, is exactly zero — an error a noise model cannot produce, since independent noise never puts two different points in the same place. Measuring distortion

Rounding is not noise

Eight rungs treat a coordinate's error as noise that averages down. A published coordinate has a second error that does not: it is deterministic, it is shared between every point in the same cell, and at five centimetres apart ninety-three per cent of pairs come out as the same place — which no amount of independent noise can produce.

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