The thread: Measured, not named — page 11
The correlation is not the same in every direction
Every number in the previous rung came out of Σ cₙ Pₙ(cos ψ) — a covariance that depends on the angular distance and nothing else. Ground has grain: at a modest anisotropy the same 20 km baseline omits 165 millimetres along it and 241 across, and the isotropic answer understates the worse direction by 18.4 per cent.
A thousand features are wrong in the same direction
The area a simplification costs is unpredictable in sign for one feature. Over a population it is not: twenty-four presentations of one shape all lose area, the mean is seventy standard errors below zero, and no amount of aggregation removes it.
The ground has an indicatrix too
Two hundred and forty-six essays hold the Earth still while the page is measured. The ground is moving at tens of millimetres a year, and the motion is a map with four partial derivatives — so the same construction that draws Tissot's ellipse draws one for the ground, and the fastest plate in the model returns exactly nothing.
The second derivative cannot classify
Seven essays have used a second derivative to measure a size. The one thing a second derivative is classically used to do is say what KIND of thing is at a point, and on a sphere that use fails: the determinant test totals six where the truth is two, its failure is confined to exactly the field it is asked about, and the count that gets it right never differentiates twice.
A velocity needs a frame and a strain rate does not
One place on a plate boundary moves at 5.3, 7.0, 10.2 or 54.6 millimetres a year, and towards the south-east or the north-west, depending on which rotation was subtracted first. Every one of those readings reports the same strain rate, to two parts in a hundred thousand million.
The error ellipse is not an ellipse
Rung two pushed a covariance through a projection with the same matrix sandwich that draws an indicatrix. That is a first-order operation on a map with a second derivative, so the propagated distribution is not the ellipse the sandwich draws — and a nominal 95 per cent ellipse holds 93.06 per cent on one projection and 95.63 on another, in opposite directions, from the same input.
How many features a scale can carry
Töpfer's radical law is quoted everywhere as a rule of thumb. It is not one: it is a theorem about a size distribution with a Pareto exponent of exactly one half, exact to 1.8 per cent for that population and out by 99.4 per cent for a lognormal one.
The answer depends on the cells it was counted in
Nine essays price the cell as a shape. The number reported out of it is priced nowhere: sliding a grid without changing its resolution moves the largest reported value by 12.6 per cent, which is more than halving the resolution costs.
A grid stops fitting the ground it was laid on
A hundred-kilometre baseline across a plate boundary changes by 815 millimetres in fifty years, and the same baseline on the fastest plate in the model changes by nothing at all in the same fifty. The interval before an ordinary first-order specification is broken is six years in one place and never in the other.
Whether the ellipses point the same way
The previous rung found that alignment decides whether the average of a region's deformations is above or below the deformation of its average, and stated it at ten projections over one region. Swept over a hundred and eight pairs, the answer is that alignment belongs to the projection 28 per cent, to the region 38, and to neither 33 — and two rows of the table turn out not to be measurements at all.
A map drawn to a density it was handed
Two hundred and twenty-six essays measure distortion after the fact. This one specifies it: a density is handed to a map as a boundary condition, the areal scale factor comes out equal to it to five parts in a million, and every other invariant the site owns becomes the price.
The strain a map adds to the ground's
A ground carried rigidly at forty millimetres a year deforms nothing, and read off a Mercator sheet at sixty degrees north it reports 10.9 nanostrain a year. Along a profile through a real boundary the invented part is 0.0 per cent of the answer where the zone is loud and 884 per cent where it is quiet.
The renderer runs out of numbers before the zoom does
Eleven essays price the pyramid in exact arithmetic. The pipeline that draws it carries single precision, where a world coordinate near the antimeridian quantises to two metres — at every zoom, because the number does not get smaller when the pixel does. At zoom 22 that is fifty-four pixels.
A vertical rate needs a height system
Four rungs of this anchor measure the two-by-two horizontal tensor, because that is what a tangent chart returns. The larger signal in a subsiding basin is vertical — 126 nanoradians a year of tilt against 0.76 nanostrain a year of horizontal strain — and it is not a measurement at all until the surface it is measured against is named, because that surface is moving too.
The query a fast path actually answers
Fifteen rungs price what a stored coordinate means and none asks what it is searched with. No index answers "within two hundred kilometres of here"; an index answers "inside this rectangle of stored coordinates", and the rectangle is built by somebody's arithmetic — which at 55° north silently drops a tenth of the true answer on a conformal projection and three fifths of it on an equal-area one.
Every density can be met and none is free
Four maps of the same data, all of them correct, charging between 57.6° and 104.4° of angular deformation for it. There is no such thing as the cartogram of a density — there is an infinite family, and somebody picked a member of it without saying so.
Every country's zero is a different surface
Ten rungs measure a height against a geoid and treat the geoid as one object. No national datum is on it: each is pinned to the mean sea level at one tide gauge, the sea surface stands up to two metres from the geoid, and the eight European zeros measured here spread over 462 millimetres — a step no levelling can remove and nobody's error.
A map that meets its target can fold
The flow a diffusion cartogram integrates is a diffeomorphism at every instant and cannot fold. Every discretisation of it can, and the point at which one does is a root of a quadratic — written down rather than searched for.
The parameters are not independent
Rung seven gives the seven parameters their own uncertainty and stops at seven numbers. There are twenty-eight, and the twenty-one nobody publishes are not small: a translation and the rotation that mimics it correlate at 0.94, the normal matrix has a condition number of 4 × 10¹⁶, and propagating from the diagonal alone overstates the transformation's uncertainty by up to a factor of thirty-six.
Everything else on the page pays for the areas
A cartogram gets one quantity exactly right and every other reading a page supports is collateral. A ruler on it is out by 35 per cent after the most generous calibration available, and ten of sixty triples of places change which one is in the middle.
A label belongs to no tile
Nine rungs price the tile as a piece of geometry. A label is not geometry — it is a page object placed by collision against other page objects, and collision is a global relation while a tile is rendered alone. Cut a page into tiles and 10.3 per cent of the labels are placed differently; the buffer that closes the gap is half a tile at moderate density and a whole one when it is crowded.
The light comes from a page direction
A hillshade's illumination azimuth is declared from the top of the sheet, and the top of the sheet is grid north. On a conic the light therefore swings 52.6° across eighty degrees of longitude, and 72.8 per cent of the sheet is shaded differently from what the legend claims.
A ray from the centre hits the surface twice
Eleven rungs map bodies that are lumpy, triaxial and turning at a drifting rate, and every one assumes the surface is star-shaped about the centre — which is what makes a longitude and a latitude a coordinate at all. A contact binary is not: on a stated body with a neck a third of a lobe wide, 10.9 per cent of the sky has no single radius, and the shape model everybody publishes fills the neck in and adds 1.67 per cent of the volume.
Which features survive is not a sample
The rung below answers how many features a scale can carry and treats the population as a number. Which ones survive is a different question: keeping one feature in ten carries 99.99 per cent of the total length and inflates the median feature by a factor of 95, and the shape of the size distribution survives both exactly.