The thread: Computed, not quoted — page 13
The second derivative cannot classify
Seven essays have used a second derivative to measure a size. The one thing a second derivative is classically used to do is say what KIND of thing is at a point, and on a sphere that use fails: the determinant test totals six where the truth is two, its failure is confined to exactly the field it is asked about, and the count that gets it right never differentiates twice.
The area weighting was a readership all along
Twelve measurements have taken a projection comparison apart and found the comparer's own freedom in every part of it. All twelve rested on one thing none of them examined: that a square kilometre of empty ocean counts exactly as much as a square kilometre of city. That is not the absence of an assumption about the reader — it is the assumption that everybody who will ever look at the map is spread evenly over the globe. Named as one readership among five, it produces a different winner from three of the other four, and against a North Atlantic readership its choice is fifth of twenty and 33 per cent worse.
A second clause decides the half that was already decided
A specification written as a band admits forty-two maps keeping between 37.0 and 67.5 per cent of a region. Adding a tie-break — among those, take the one whose worst departure is least — is a linear programme, and it works: it makes each of the forty-two definite. It also merges three neighbours at the bottom into one, leaves 29.1 of the 30.5 points of spread in area kept, and names a single map only at the tolerance where every map keeps everything and the first clause has stopped asking for anything at all.
Weighted by what it disagrees with, the fix trusts the sight it leans on
With six sights and two unknowns, the residuals seem to offer a way to find the bad sight without knowing the weather: weight each line by how little it disagrees, and solve again. One step of that gives a low body almost exactly the weight its altitude would, 4.5 per cent against 4.0. Every further step walks it away. Iterated until the weights settle, the fit is worse than weighting nothing in all four arrangements tried. Where the low body stands alone in its direction it ends with six times the weight it earns, because the fix leans on its line and its residual shows only 46 per cent of its error.
Naming the control station that moved takes a fifth
A local survey tied to distant control can tell that a monument has moved, and with three control stations it cannot say which. Each station gives the local lines one number they know well — its distance — and a shift of the whole control uses up two of them, so three stations leave one and four leave two. Five evenly spaced name a station moved five centimetres 83 times in a hundred; three name it 20. Better lines cannot stand in for the missing stations, and every station added also exposes more of the control's own published error.
A triangle reads the geoid's curvature, and that one converges
The geoid's Gaussian curvature at a point has no value: its spectrum carries two more powers of the degree than the height's, and the sum never settles. A surveyor's triangle does not measure it at a point. By Gauss–Bonnet its excess is the total curvature over its area, which on the geoid is the flux of the deflection of the vertical through its three sides — a first derivative averaged along lines, and that sum converges. A fifty-kilometre triangle reads 0.64 per cent of the sphere's curvature from the geoid at EGM2008's degree and 0.68 at degree 36,000, where the curvature at a point has grown sixteenfold. The quantity nothing could measure was the one nobody measures.
A velocity needs a frame and a strain rate does not
One place on a plate boundary moves at 5.3, 7.0, 10.2 or 54.6 millimetres a year, and towards the south-east or the north-west, depending on which rotation was subtracted first. Every one of those readings reports the same strain rate, to two parts in a hundred thousand million.
The error ellipse is not an ellipse
A positional covariance pushed through a projection is the same matrix sandwich that draws an indicatrix. That is a first-order operation on a map with a second derivative, so the propagated distribution is not the ellipse the sandwich draws — and a nominal 95 per cent ellipse holds 93.06 per cent on one projection and 95.63 on another, in opposite directions, from the same input.
How many features a scale can carry
Töpfer's radical law is quoted everywhere as a rule of thumb. It is not one: it is a theorem about a size distribution with a Pareto exponent of exactly one half, exact to 1.8 per cent for that population and out by 99.4 per cent for a lognormal one.
A copy eased into place loses its seams before its source
A stretch of coast lifted from another sheet and dropped in rigidly leaves two sharp corners where it joins, and both of them are findable. A compiler does not work that way: they pin the ends and ease the middle until it looks continuous. Easing halves the corner within five per cent of the outline and the seams survive it — until forty per cent, where the located seam jumps from four per cent of the coast out to twenty. The source projection survives twice as far, to seventy-five. The piece goes on naming where it came from after the method has lost track of which piece it is.
A week of twilights learns what a sight is worth
One fix cannot tell how good its low sight was, but every residual of every fix is a point on one straight line whose slope is the square of the refraction share, once each is corrected exactly for its own fix's geometry. After one twilight the estimate is zero four times in ten; after a week it is within half again of the truth nearly four times in five. And the lesson is worth little: a guess within a factor of two already costs under 4 per cent of the fix, a week's estimate 1.3, and a share that changes from night to night by half again costs more than the learning buys.
One exponent names one map, and at tight bands a better one than the band usually finds
A specification written as a band keeps a count of area and throws the rest of the scale field away, which is why it had forty-two answers and why a tie-break could not name one. Written instead as the mean of |ln k| raised to a stated power, it is convex for every power from one up, and has one answer. At a band of a tenth of a per cent that single answer keeps more of the region than forty-one of the band's forty-two, and at half a per cent fewer than nine of them: the band's best answer leads it by 14.7 points there, and the band's own search started from it reaches within two points of that best. Only as the band approaches the least worst case does a large power take over.
On the land it was drawn for, the homolosine wins by its meridians
Scored over the whole sphere and cut into Goode's lobes, the homolosine loses to the plain sinusoidal; for it to win on latitude alone, a reader would have to care about the band from 32° to 61° forty per cent more than its area. The land does not do that — the band holds 1.03 times its share of the continents. Weighted by land anyway, and each point read from the meridian of the lobe it lies in, the homolosine wins: 16.51° against Craster's 17.00 and the sinusoidal's 17.34. The win is in where Goode put his meridians, which lift his map from third to first; count Antarctica as land and it falls to fourth.
One cut belongs to the island that would cost most alone
A sea with two islands pays a few per cent for being drawn whole by an angle-keeping map, and one cut buys back part of it. Which island to cut is a design choice that leaves the ground exactly where it was, and it is not decided by size: across twenty arrangements of a large island and a small one, the cut worth most goes to the island that would cost the sea most if it were alone in it — in eighteen of twenty, the other two near-ties — which is usually the more central one. A cut joining the two islands buys almost nothing, and the better cut is nearly always the longer.
The answer depends on the cells it was counted in
Nine essays price the cell as a shape. The number reported out of it is priced nowhere: sliding a grid without changing its resolution moves the largest reported value by 12.6 per cent, which is more than halving the resolution costs.
A grid stops fitting the ground it was laid on
A hundred-kilometre baseline across a plate boundary changes by 815 millimetres in fifty years, and the same baseline on the fastest plate in the model changes by nothing at all in the same fifty. The interval before an ordinary first-order specification is broken is six years in one place and never in the other.
Whether the ellipses point the same way
Alignment was found to decide whether the average of a region's deformations is above or below the deformation of its average, and stated it at ten projections over one region. Swept over a hundred and eight pairs, the answer is that alignment belongs to the projection 28 per cent, to the region 38, and to neither 33 — and two rows of the table turn out not to be measurements at all.
The region was a rectangle in a projection
Every verdict this collection hands out is a verdict about a region, and almost every region it has been given is a latitude–longitude box. A box discards a territory's shape, which costs a few per cent, and it records the territory's width in degrees of longitude, which costs up to a factor of 1.72 and changes which family wins on four of forty stated territories. Convert that width to arc and the box gives the right answer every time — so the comparison had a projection in it before it began.
The sinusoidal is the edge of its family, not outside it
The sinusoidal is the last member of a family of equal-area maps that begins at Lambert's cylindrical, and it was thought to be the one projection whose pass depth has no curve. Along the family the curve comes and goes: present at m = 0 and 0.8, absent at 0.6 and 0.9. What does move smoothly is the pass depth's level. It is flat from m = 0.2 to 0.9, then rises at every step over the last twentieth, 3.2-fold, to the sinusoid — whose high ridges are the end of that rise, not an exception to the family — while the cylinder at m = 0 stands eight times above its neighbour.
A forecast's error in where the streak is becomes a margin
A jet streak drifting along a gap moves the diversion floor by up to forty kilometres during a crossing, and an operator knows where the streak is only from a forecast. Planned to the worst over the forecast's own crossing window, the floor needs a margin of about eight kilometres for every hundred of error in the streak's position, and stops paying for itself against simply ignoring the streak near an error of two hundred and fifty. Planned to the departure analysis alone, it is worse than ignoring the streak at any error at all.
Honest about its control, the test needs eight centimetres where it needed five
A test that holds the control exact reads the control's published error as movement, and at five stations flags a good survey sixteen times in a hundred. Carry the published covariance into the adjustment and the false alarms fall to half a per cent — and the smallest move the test can find grows from 48 millimetres to 77. A five-centimetre move is then named 29 times in a hundred instead of 63, the naming rate of perfect control takes twenty-four stations, and above ten centimetres the two tests agree. What the honest test buys is a flag that means what it says.
The land puts the homolosine's join eleven degrees higher
Goode joined the sinusoidal to the Mollweide at 40° 44′ because that is where their parallels have the same length — a fact of geometry, not of any objective. On the land his map was drawn for, read from his own lobes, the join has an objective at last, and its best value is 51.7°: a composite joined there gains a fifth of a degree over Goode's, and every join from about 46° to 60° does nearly as well. A smooth curve fitted to the land with no join in it at all stays within three per cent of flat to 50° and then closes, gaining twice as much again. Goode found the right shape and put its knee too low; with Antarctica counted, the land wants no knee at all.
A levelling loop reads the circulation, and the geoid has none
A triangle of angles reads the geoid as the flux of the deflection of the vertical through its sides. A levelling loop is the other integral round the same curve, the circulation, and at the geoid that one is identically zero, because the deflection is the slope of a height. What a levelling loop run on the ground misses by is the Jacobian of gravity and height over the loop: 31 mm round a fifty-kilometre loop in a stated mountain range, none of it from the free-air gradient that changes gravity by 1,333 mGal there, uncorrelated with what the triangle reads, and two and a half times the noise of the levelling where the triangle's reading is a fiftieth of its own.
A map drawn to a density it was handed
Two hundred and twenty-six essays measure distortion after the fact. This one specifies it: a density is handed to a map as a boundary condition, the areal scale factor comes out equal to it to five parts in a million, and every other invariant the site owns becomes the price.