Reduction — the series
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What a tape measures
Four steps stand between an instrument reading and a coordinate, and their sizes are not in the order anybody expects. On a 77-kilometre line the slope reduction is 120 metres, the grid reduction 30, and a step nobody names — using the height above sea level where the height above the ellipsoid is wanted — is 583 millimetres.
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A traverse must close
The check every survey specification leans on cannot see the error this whole field is about. Scale every leg of a closed figure by four hundred parts per million and it closes to the last bit of a double, while every dimension in it is wrong.
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The two ways to spread a misclosure
Bowditch's rule and the Transit rule take the same closed figure and the same misclosure and disagree about which legs were wrong. Both close it exactly, neither puts the correction on the leg that actually carries the blunder, and no measurement can settle which is right.
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Setting out runs the chain backwards
Turning a design coordinate into something to observe on the ground means undoing the reduction chain, and undoing a chain reverses the order as well as the operations. Two of the corrections do not commute, and getting them the wrong way round misses by a millimetre at fifty kilometres.
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Two grids over the same ground
One point in the English Midlands is 406,788 east on the British grid and 167,478 east on UTM. Separating the difference properly leaves a surprise — only one of a grid's five parameters changes the map, and it is not any of the four that dominate the number.
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The tolerance decides the model
Every correction inverts to a distance — the line length at which it alone exceeds a stated tolerance. The ranking those distances produce is the same at a millimetre and at a decimetre, and it is different for two jobs at the same tolerance on different ground.
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A published coordinate is a result
Re-observe a control mark perfectly, with an instrument good to twenty millimetres, and the answer disagrees with the published value by a hundred metres. Neither number is wrong. The difference measures the interval between two definitions.
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What a closed figure cannot see
A closed traverse imposes exactly two conditions on its observations, so everything else is free — and the freedom is not spread evenly. At a twenty-millimetre tolerance the worst-placed station in a seven-station loop hides an angle blunder of 2.1 arcseconds and the station standing seventy-two metres from the close hides 57, because a rotation about a point near the finish moves the finish hardly at all.
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The chain the satellite does not have
The four-step reduction from a tape reading to a grid coordinate exists because a tape does not know where it is. A satellite observation does, so the same distance can be got by projecting both ends and subtracting — and the two answers agreeing to a fifth of a millimetre is the first check the chain has ever had.
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A coordinate is the output of a solve
Six essays measure a tape, close a traverse, spread a misclosure and reduce a chain. The coordinate that comes out of the far end is the solution of a least-squares problem, and the problem has a decision in it that is not a measurement: what to hold fixed. Change it and every coordinate moves by centimetres while not one residual moves at all.
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The weights are a guess the solve believes
Choosing what to hold fixed is a decision inside the least-squares problem that no residual can see. There is a second, made more often and thought about less. Every observation enters with a weight nobody measured, the weights move the coordinates by a factor of 1.8, and the standard check on them can be made to pass by a scaling that moves nothing at all.
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The blunder the network cannot see
A least-squares adjustment has no concept of a mistake. The smallest blunder its test will find in the least-checked leg of a braced quadrilateral is 87 millimetres, and by the time it fires a station has moved by nearly ten times the accuracy the same adjustment reports for it.
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The network's answer is decided before it is measured
An adjustment is usually judged by what it does with observations. Every quantity a specification is written about — the error ellipses, the redundancy numbers, the smallest detectable blunder — is a function of the geometry and the weights alone, and does not contain an observed value anywhere. Four layouts of five stations with the same ten distances differ by a factor of 20.9 in their worst coordinate.
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The control carries the error of every network above it
A local survey is adjusted with its control stations held fixed, and the error ellipses it reports come from its own observations alone. On a stated three-order network a local station reports 11 millimetres and sits 59 from where the national origin puts it: 52 of them from the national order and 26 from the regional. Its own residuals can see almost none of that. What it does own outright is its lengths, and nothing of those is inherited.
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Three numbers are all a local survey can check of its control
Adjust a local network on its own lines, then fit it onto its three control stations, and the misfit at the control is the only place the control's error can show. It is exactly the excess the held adjustment's variance factor already carried, counted on three degrees of freedom instead of fifteen, and it catches a disturbed monument 79 times in a hundred where the held report catches it 49. Give the fit a scale and it hides 98 per cent of that excess, and lends the control's error to every length.
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Naming the control station that moved takes a fifth
A local survey tied to distant control can tell that a monument has moved, and with three control stations it cannot say which. Each station gives the local lines one number they know well — its distance — and a shift of the whole control uses up two of them, so three stations leave one and four leave two. Five evenly spaced name a station moved five centimetres 83 times in a hundred; three name it 20. Better lines cannot stand in for the missing stations, and every station added also exposes more of the control's own published error.
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Honest about its control, the test needs eight centimetres where it needed five
A test that holds the control exact reads the control's published error as movement, and at five stations flags a good survey sixteen times in a hundred. Carry the published covariance into the adjustment and the false alarms fall to half a per cent — and the smallest move the test can find grows from 48 millimetres to 77. A five-centimetre move is then named 29 times in a hundred instead of 63, the naming rate of perfect control takes twenty-four stations, and above ten centimetres the two tests agree. What the honest test buys is a flag that means what it says.
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One survey cannot tell an optimistic report from a moved mark
A local survey that carries its control's published covariance can estimate, from its own residuals, how far that covariance understates the truth. With five control stations the estimate has a standard deviation of 3.8 times the published scale, and a single monument moved five centimetres adds about as much again — four times what a report twice too optimistic would add. Run at the scale it estimated for itself, the honest test stops flooding good surveys with alarms, and names a moved mark seven times in a hundred instead of twenty-five: the move inflates the estimate and the estimate absorbs the move. The report can be checked only across surveys, and telling one twice too optimistic from an honest one takes about two hundred of them with five stations each, or fifty with twelve.
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An agency can map where its published covariance is optimistic
The local surveys tied to a regional network each estimate, badly, how far the network's published covariance understates the truth, and the agency that receives them can pool what they say. When the understatement is confined to one part of the region, pooling it into one number dilutes it: a patch covering 15 per cent of the region with errors four times their published size reads as 1.30 for the whole. Counted place by place, the same surveys find the patch — two agencies in three find it with 400 surveys and nearly every one with 800, flagging almost nothing outside it. Fed back as one number the scale removes little of the false alarms inside the patch and costs nearly a third of the test's power outside; fed back as a map it cuts the false alarms inside from 20 per cent to 3 and costs little outside.